I'm back and I'm never leaving again!
I'm back and I'm never leaving again, I swear! Consider this the first post of the new semester and the new year, and man oh man oh man, people, I got a lot of news to update on.
Election Scorecard: We have a buncha and a half of elections to update on, the most recent being the Presidential election in Chile. Michelle Bachalet, Socialist member of the center-left coalition Concertacion won with 53% of the vote to become Chile's first elected female leader. But that's not all, for those of you not watching at home, which I'm going to assume is a lot of you, we've had the following:
Honduras saw the election of Manuel Zelaya from the Opposition Liberal Party. Another victory for the left.
Bolivia finally got the leftist Firebrand of leftist Firebrands Evo Morales elected.
Latin America is going to have a very busy year at the polls. Key elections to watch out for: in Mexico, the battle to replace Vicente Fox is probably going to start to heat up soon and in Brazil, we'll have to see if President Da Silva can manage to get himself re-elected.
So, everything south of the Rio Grande seems to be taking a left turn- but, north of the border, it seems like the Canadians have totally flipped. I know I called a status quo, things not changing much type of situation, when last I blogged, but things have totally flipped now.
The Conservatives under leader Steven Harper have a commanding, 9 point lead in the polls in the run-up to next weeks election. The latest poll breakdown:
Conservatives: 37%
Liberals: 28%
NDP: 16%
Bloc Quebecois: 12%
Green: 7%
Undecided: 15%
these numbers are from the CBC, with a margin of error of +/-3%. This is quite the turnaround from where we were heading going into Christmas. Basically, from what I can tell, around New Year's, everyone just suddenly got sick and tired of the Liberals the numbers began to trend right in a big way. Some caveats though: the Liberals could go into coalition (theoretically) with the left-leaning, ideologically similar NDP- or at least court them for support, so even if the Conservatives get the majority of seats, we'll be looking at a coalition situation of some kind. And, also, there are lots of undecideds still left. Gotta see how they swing too.
Iraq: The Shi'ites have stormed to power in the Iraqi elections, with the final results finally being released just today. The U.S. is pushing hard for the formation of a National Unity government, so don't expect any official announcement on who's running what for awhile. They've got at least 10 rounds of negotiations to go. Check out the final numbers and some analysis over at Iraq the Model (a pretty informative blog, I've discovered.)
Election Scorecard: We have a buncha and a half of elections to update on, the most recent being the Presidential election in Chile. Michelle Bachalet, Socialist member of the center-left coalition Concertacion won with 53% of the vote to become Chile's first elected female leader. But that's not all, for those of you not watching at home, which I'm going to assume is a lot of you, we've had the following:
Honduras saw the election of Manuel Zelaya from the Opposition Liberal Party. Another victory for the left.
Bolivia finally got the leftist Firebrand of leftist Firebrands Evo Morales elected.
Latin America is going to have a very busy year at the polls. Key elections to watch out for: in Mexico, the battle to replace Vicente Fox is probably going to start to heat up soon and in Brazil, we'll have to see if President Da Silva can manage to get himself re-elected.
So, everything south of the Rio Grande seems to be taking a left turn- but, north of the border, it seems like the Canadians have totally flipped. I know I called a status quo, things not changing much type of situation, when last I blogged, but things have totally flipped now.
The Conservatives under leader Steven Harper have a commanding, 9 point lead in the polls in the run-up to next weeks election. The latest poll breakdown:
Conservatives: 37%
Liberals: 28%
NDP: 16%
Bloc Quebecois: 12%
Green: 7%
Undecided: 15%
these numbers are from the CBC, with a margin of error of +/-3%. This is quite the turnaround from where we were heading going into Christmas. Basically, from what I can tell, around New Year's, everyone just suddenly got sick and tired of the Liberals the numbers began to trend right in a big way. Some caveats though: the Liberals could go into coalition (theoretically) with the left-leaning, ideologically similar NDP- or at least court them for support, so even if the Conservatives get the majority of seats, we'll be looking at a coalition situation of some kind. And, also, there are lots of undecideds still left. Gotta see how they swing too.
Iraq: The Shi'ites have stormed to power in the Iraqi elections, with the final results finally being released just today. The U.S. is pushing hard for the formation of a National Unity government, so don't expect any official announcement on who's running what for awhile. They've got at least 10 rounds of negotiations to go. Check out the final numbers and some analysis over at Iraq the Model (a pretty informative blog, I've discovered.)
posted by Tom @ 3:32 PM
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